Monday, October 30, 2017

Scary Prediction

If these predictions about the future of the United States are anywhere close to right, there will be serious consequences for the country, Texas and Georgetown in the near future.Rethink X

» Executive Summary 

"We are on the cusp of one of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruptions of transportation in history. By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of autonomous vehicles (AVs), 95% of U.S. passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand autonomous electric vehicles owned by fleets, not individuals, in a new business model we call “transportas-a-service” (TaaS). The TaaS disruption will have enormous implications across the transportation and oil industries, decimating entire portions of their value chains, causing oil demand and prices to plummet, and destroying trillions of dollars in investor value — but also creating trillions of dollars in new business opportunities, consumer surplus and GDP growth. 

The disruption will be driven by economics. Using TaaS, the average American family will save more than $5,600 per year in transportation costs, equivalent to a wage raise of 10%. This will keep an additional $1 trillion per year in Americans’ pockets by 2030, potentially generating the largest infusion of consumer spending in history. 

We have reached this conclusion through exhaustive analysis of data, market, consumer and regulatory dynamics, using well-established cost curves and assuming only existing technology. This report presents overwhelming evidence that mainstream analysis is missing, yet again, the speed, scope and impact of technology disruption. Unlike those analyses, which produce linear and incremental forecasts, our modeling incorporates systems dynamics, including feedback loops, network effects and market forces, that better reflect the reality of fast-paced technology-adoption S-curves. These systems dynamics, unleashed as adoption of TaaS begins, will create a virtuous cycle of decreasing costs and increasing quality of service and convenience, which will in turn drive further adoption along an exponential S-curve. Conversely, individual vehicle ownership, especially of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, will enter a vicious cycle of increasing costs, decreasing convenience and diminishing quality of service."

The analysts of course ignore or gloss over the effects of this transportation disruption on employment. Coupled with the revolution in robotics, many jobs will be eliminated and it is not clear that there will be sufficient new jobs created to take up the slack.

Americans and their governments should be very wary about taking on more debt.

Hang On to Your Wallet

TxDOT is planning on 33 miles of I35 having two lanes of toll roads in each direction starting in Round Rock at 1431 and continuing South to approximately the Hays County line. It will consist of 3 levels through Austin and the cost estimate is a cool $8.1Billion.

Read the entire fantasy plan here:Statesman

For starters, TxDOT is spending $20M on environmental studies to be completed by the end of 2019.

"TxDOT officials last week specifically indicated they are willing to devote more agency dollars to major projects in the state’s largest metropolitan areas, even if tolls are involved.

That would seem to be a shift from Gov. Greg Abbott’s stance, from his 2014 campaign and speeches since then, of addressing the state’s highway needs without raising taxes or imposing more tolls."

This flies in the face of many future predictions that the introduction of autonomous vehicles and ride sharing will reduce vehicular traffic. Some believe significant changes in transportation modes will occur by 2030, before such an expensive and ambitious project will likely be completed.

It is estimated that nationwide, new-vehicle annual unit sales will drop by 70% by 2030, to around 5.6 million vehicles versus the 18 million that will be sold in 2020. Rethink X

This will be a major battle in the Texas Legislature as there are many Texas against more toll roads.

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

WOW! Georgetown Resident Filled With Hate

Joe Reedholm, a Georgetown resident has penned an OpEd in the Austin Statesman citing the Southern Poverty Law Center (a well-known radical Left organization) attacking the Wilco Grays, the Wilco museum and the Wilco commissioners:
"Georgetown civic leaders have not directly responded to the evil oozing from the neo-Confederate cabal.
If our civic leaders continue to ignore this rather simple issue, it would be easy for Georgetown to slide into the swamp with Charlottesville.
Men in cute gray costumes innocently waving Confederate flags are a thin veneer over the Lost Cause’s deep well of hate. When Neo-Confederate ideology is being taught to school kids, it is easy to imagine one of them figuring out how to one-up Charlottesville’s tiki-torch march. Fliers imprinted with KKK and other white nationalist logos have already surfaced in Belton. We can only hope those were a sick joke and not a promise of real harm to those who do not roll over for neo-Confederates."
It is sad to see a Georgetown resident stoking the fires of hate and division. Perhaps Joe should find a more hospitable place for his views. Texans are proud of their history, all of it, and are not ashamed and will not be bullied!

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

Renewable Energy is Facing Reality


Many countries are facing up to the reality that renewable energy is not cost effective without government subsidies. Only Canada is bucking the trend of ignoring carbon reduction targets established at the Paris Accord.Financial Post
This week it was Australia’s turn to desert the cause, when it rejected its Clean Energy Target (CET), a much-anticipated 200-page-plus proposal that would have forced electricity utilities to rely on renewables and other low-emission sources for a substantial percentage of their production, all in aid of meeting the country’s Paris commitment to dramatically cut carbon use by 2030.
Australians have learned by experience the folly of relying fully on renewable energy.
Australia’s confidence in climate gurus took a hit when South Australia, a state 40-per-cent larger than Texas that went on a renewables building binge, suffered a series of six major blackouts, including one last September that blacked out the entire state. 
While Trudeau’s Canada is shunning coal to live up to Paris, the rest of the world is embracing it: for every coal plant retired in 2015 and 2016, five others are being built. Three-dozen countries that were applauded in Paris for taking the anti-carbon pledge are now upping their construction of coal plants. While growth in renewables development tumbles, coal soars, with capacity slated to increase by 43 per cent.
Trudeau now stands almost alone in sincere support of Paris. The populist backlash — a revulsion at top-down governments laden with jet-setting politicians landing in posh places to preach restraint to the masses — has swept America with Trump’s election, Great Britain with Brexit, much of Europe, and Australia. In the process, global warming enthusiasts are being swept out. Canada is an outlier, to date immune to this populist wave. To date, oblivious to the lessons learned elsewhere.
As the Australians have learned, a country must have fossil fuel electric generators for those times when the sun doesn't shine and the wind doesn't blow!

Georgetown is safe from blackouts only as long as ERCOT and the electric generating industry keeps fossil fuel generators on-line and available.

Taken to its logical end, as the entire state relies more on renewable energy generators, fossil fuel generators will have to be maintained for when the sun doesn't shine and the wind doesn't blow. Keeping two sets of electrical generating systems active will of course cause the price of electricity to the consumer to increase!

For those who think battery storage technology will save the day for renewable energy, consider that the most likely technology that is capable of currently being mass produced, is lithium based. This raises a whole host of environmental issues as lithium is toxic and requires special handling for manufacturing and disposal. It is also prone to overheating and catching fire as evidenced by battery fires in Boeing aircraft and Tesla automobiles. To overcome these issues will require significant investments whose costs will ultimately be passed along to the electric consumer. These costs are currently unknowable.

Monday, October 23, 2017

More "Facts" on Green Energy

The following was asserted in the "Climate Change Hero" blog post from yesterday. 
“Now this is the deal, we are paying the same amount per kilowatt hour in year one than we are in year 25 with no cost escalation, so that meets the objective of cost certainty,”
Fact: Electric costs per kilowatt hour increased 4.26% in February, 2017 for Georgetown electric customers. 

Following is the second assertion.
“What reasonable person can’t weigh the evidence and come to the conclusion that climate change is real and it’s happening. When you say, `No, it’s not.’ Really? Well what are you basing that on? You think Irma and Harvey were just coincidences? Really?”
Fact: The climate is changing and has been changing for thousands of years. However, measured temperatures do not support the assertion that recent temperature increases are primarily caused by mankinds use of fossil fuels. Here is actual data compared to the many climate model predictions of temperature rise.Christy and Spencer

It is easily observed that the model predictions are wildly inaccurate, yet, those model predictions are what have been driving the climate catastrophe narrative. The linear temperature trend of the global average lower tropospheric temperature anomalies from January 1979 through September 2017 remains at +0.13 C/decade.

Data trumps over models every time!

There has been no credible criticism that the data used in the above chart is wrong or inaccurate.

There are also credible references that show "climate change" and weather are not currently related. The U.S. went 12 years with out a significant hurricane impacting the mainland. Yet man made climate change advocates continue to assert that climate change causes increased severe weather events with out any proof.

Sunday, October 22, 2017

Wrong Jobs Growing?

The Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area, which includes Georgetown, looks to be growing the wrong kinds of jobs.
Preliminary data released Friday by the Texas Workforce Commission showed that metro-area employers added 8,300 jobs in September, but showed that the net gain came entirely from the public sector, which was boosted by the start of the school year and the end of the state hiring freeze.Statesman
Private employers slashed 2,200 jobs during the month, in line with seasonal payroll reductions despite unusually large job cuts at local bars, restaurants and hotels.
The locality needs new private sector jobs that increase the local economy. Public sector jobs are paid for using taxpayer funds. Therefore, an increase in public sector jobs will require increased taxes to pay for them.

Wrong direction!

Mayor Ross is Climate Change Hero

There are many misrepresentations in this article, but, I will point out only one. It was stated that the decision to go "green" was made on the basis of facts. Right now that is an assertion because no citizen of Georgetown is privy to the "facts". Just try and get factual financial information concerning the Georgetown Utility System using Open Records Requests. The City hides behind a state law that allows utilities to keep information secret because it might reveal competitive information or trade secrets. Believe me, I have tried more than once! Statesman

How Georgetown’s GOP mayor became a hero to climate change evangelists

By Jonathan Tilove - American-Statesman Staff

Dale Ross, the mayor of Georgetown, is the subject of an interview conducted by ARD German television. Under Ross, Georgetown became the first city in Texas and one of the first in the nation to claim to be entirely powered by wind and solar energy, a move that has garnered interest from around the world. Claudia Buckenmaier, senior ARD correspondent and her crew interviews Ross. RALPH BARRERA / AMERICAN-STATESMAN
Posted: 3:58 p.m. Saturday, October 21, 2017


Highlights
Dale Ross presided over Georgetown as it became the first Texas city powered entirely by renewable energy.
Ross, a Republican, has become a hero to environmentalists thanks in part to Al Gore.
Ross will be introducing Gore at the GridNEXT 2017 Conference in Georgetown on Monday.
GEORGETOWN —
In the 14 months since Al Gore came to Georgetown to see for himself the story of this red Texas city’s conversion to solar and wind power, Mayor Dale Ross has become something of an international sensation.
On Tuesday, journalists from “Weltspiegel,” a popular German foreign affairs TV program, were interviewing Ross, the latest reporters to have trekked to this charming city of 65,000, the first and still only Texas city to operate entirely on renewable energy.
On Monday, Ross, a conservative Republican, will be introducing Gore, the former Democratic vice president and climate change guru, who will be the keynote speaker at the Texas Renewable Energy Industries Alliance’s third annual GridNEXT conference being held in Georgetown, 30 miles north of Austin, for the second consecutive year.
Ross is just back from an appearance with Gore at the National Clean Energy Summit in Las Vegas (a “Weltspiegel” crew was there to record it), and a screening in San Francisco of a new documentary — “Happening: A Clean Energy Revolution” — directed by Robert Redford’s son, Jamie Redford, that will air on HBO in December.
In “Happening,” Ross reprises his uplifting role as himself that he already played in Gore’s “An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power,” which was released in July, and the anti-coal documentary, “From the Ashes,” which premiered at the 2017 Tribeca Film Festival and the National Geographic Channel earlier this year.
“Being in three movies this year, especially Vice President Gore’s `Inconvenient Sequel,’ that has just taken it to a new level internationally,” Ross said. “It slowly built up, and now it’s just this big media machine, doing interviews in South America, Beijing, Japan, England.”
Ross estimates he has reached more than half a billion viewers on five continents.
“How many viewers do y’all have?” Ross asks Claudia Buckenmaier, the Washington correspondent for ARD German TV and radio, playing the part of the jaded celebrity. “Only a million?”
“You know how many Japan’s going to have? Thirty-seven million,” Ross says of the reach of NHK, Japan’s largest broadcaster, which will be paying Georgetown a visit on Monday.
“Two million,” Buckenmaier says of “Weltspiegel’s” viewership. “Two million’s a lot.”
“You set this up for 2 million?” Ross asks. “Really?”
By now, Ross knows his part well.
He is just what the environmental movement needs, straight from against-type central casting — a Texas Republican CPA with a blue suit and a comic likability.
“You look very, very good,” Buckenmaier assures him as the camera is ready to roll.
“Oh, yeah,” Ross replies. “Short and fat is in.”
“Mayor,” Buckenmaier, “why did you take the position to rely on renewable energy?”
“This is a fact-based decision we made in Georgetown, and first and foremost it was an economic decision, and what we were able to accomplish was to meet two objectives,” Ross says.
“The first objective was to mitigate price volatility in the short term, and the second thing was to minimize or mitigate regulatory or governmental risk, and so we were negotiating with wind and solar companies, and natural gas,” he says. “We were able to secure 20- and 25-year contracts with wind and solar, and the natural gas providers would only give us a guaranteed contract rate for seven years.”
“Now this is the deal, we are paying the same amount per kilowatt hour in year one than we are in year 25 with no cost escalation, so that meets the objective of cost certainty,” Ross says. “And then in terms of regulatory risk — the knuckleheads in D.C. — what’s there to regulate with wind and solar? It’s clean energy. So this as the perfect solution for the citizens we were elected to serve.”
So what, Buckenmaier asks, did he think of President Donald Trump taking the United States out of the Paris climate agreement?
“You know, I did go to Trump’s inauguration,” Ross said.
But, he said, “President Trump and I do not agree on environmental issues.”
“It was a huge mistake to withdraw from the Paris climate accords, although it really doesn’t take effect until after Trump is out of office,” Ross says, assuming Trump will not be re-elected. “And we also don’t agree on coal energy. There is no such thing as clean coal, and there is no future for coal miners. It’s a very cost-prohibitive energy source, and wind and solar is cost-effective, and in the long term, wind and solar are going to win the economic battle. If you win the economic battle, you are going to win the environmental battle.”
“Is this not putting you at risk with your Republican Party?” Buckenmaier asks.
“No,” Ross replies, “because what I do, I make decisions based on facts, and this was the best decision for the people who we were elected to serve in Georgetown because, unlike the president, in Georgetown, we want to make our decisions based on the facts.”
Trump, he says, “bases his, especially on the environment … on partisan national politics.”
“I think the lesson in Georgetown is to make decisions on the facts and not partisan politics, and you end up with great decisions,” he says.
But cozying up to Al Gore?
“My tea party friends are not so sure about me anymore and this is what I tell them,” Ross says. “Al Gore has done more in one day to make the world a better place than you have probably done in your whole life.”
“What reasonable person can’t weigh the evidence and come to the conclusion that climate change is real and it’s happening. When you say, `No, it’s not.’ Really? Well what are you basing that on? You think Irma and Harvey were just coincidences? Really?” Ross continues.
“Remember in Gore’s first movie, they ridiculed him so bad about (predicting) New York being flooded. What happened (with Hurricane Sandy)? New York got flooded, right? You have fish swimming in the streets of Miami,” Ross says. “You think all of that is coincidences? I don’t believe in coincidences. I really don’t.”
Plank 39 of the 2016 Texas Republican Party Platform is devoted to “Protections from Extreme Environmentalists.” It reads, in part, “`Climate Change’ is a political agenda promoted to control every aspect of our lives. We support the defunding of `climate justice’ initiatives and the abolition of the Environmental Protection Agency and repeal of the Endangered Species Act.”
But Bill Fairbrother, the Williamson County GOP chairman, said, “Contrary to the popular myth in some places, Republicans are all for clean, breathable air. We just don’t want the federal government overregulating and forcing needless bureaucracy on business and local governments, and if Georgetown has found a solution that meets the needs of its citizens in a fiscally responsible manner that just happens to be green, or whatever term you want to apply to it, I’d like to think that Republican elected officials are smart enough to find the answer wherever it is.”
“Mayor Ross is a CPA,” Fairbrother added. “I doubt he’d do anything that doesn’t make financial sense, and the fact that is pleasing to as diverse an audience as the former vice president is interesting, but fine with me.”
Ross was elected to a second term as mayor in May with 72 percent of the vote. In November, Trump carried all but three Georgetown precincts.
‘You really haven’t done anything’
In “Inconvenient Sequel,” Ross is seen telling a delighted Gore in his August 2016 visit to City Hall, “You are in Georgetown, which is the reddest city in the reddest county in Texas, and I’m a conservative Republican.” That part about Georgetown and Williamson County being the “reddest” is, inconveniently, not true.
“I was trying to make a point,” Ross said. “I’m telling him we’re bright red.”
Ross, a big-picture guy, doesn’t sweat the details.
“I like Chris being around because some interviewers like all the technical questions and my eyes just glaze over,” Ross tells the German crew.
Chris is Chris Foster, the city’s manager of resource planning and integration, who has been working with Georgetown’s municipal utility since 2008.
While Ross was on camera for “Weltspiegel,” Foster was offering a reporter a sotto voce tutorial on how Georgetown’s municipal utility fits into the Texas grid. There are three electrical grids in the Lower 48 — the Eastern Interconnection, the Western Interconnection, and the Texas grid, which is managed by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas.
“So the coal plants historically in order to run cheaply, they had to run 24-7, all the time,” Foster says. But, as the city was searching for new energy sources years ago, its officials noticed that the shape of the wind supply from the Panhandle and the solar supply from West Texas actually matched the profile of energy use in Central Texas.
“So we said, if we started to put them together, we would have an energy profile that’s better for the city, and it’s cheaper to operate than the coal plants, and eventually it will cause the coal plants to go off line because they won’t be able to compete,” Foster says.
Luminant just announced the closing of three coal plants in Texas, and it is projected that wind capacity will soon exceed coal capacity on the Texas grid.
“They can’t compete with renewables,” says Foster. “Yeah, we told you that was going to happen.”
Not everyone thinks that is good.
“It’s not kind of misleading, it’s very misleading, and it is for political gain,” Charles McConnell, executive director of the Energy and Environment Initiative at Rice University, said of Georgetown’s claim that it’s using 100 percent renewable energy. “It’s almost like you can’t wait to pat yourself on the back for something that you’ve done, and you really haven’t done anything.”
“Renewables and the drive toward renewables in our portfolio is a worthy effort,” McConnell said, “but declarations like this give people false belief that 100 percent renewables is a realistic target for other cities and other organizations to pursue, because if they can do it, why can’t we?”
McConnell, an assistant secretary of energy from 2011-13, worries that the zeal for renewable energy, buttressed by federal tax credits, is hurrying the grid to an unhealthy reliance on less than 24-7 renewable energy sources, leading to brownouts and higher costs in the long run.
Like Trump and Energy Secretary Rick Perry (who as governor played an instrumental role in the development of wind power, transmission lines and the grid), McConnell believes coal is essential to America’s energy future.
“Coal is the bedrock of affordable electricity, and it will remain so, no matter how much wishful thinking by environmental activists,” McConnell wrote in an August opinion piece in The Wall Street Journal. “City Pledges for `100% Renewable’ are 99% Misleading: The power grid is built on fossil fuels, and there’s no way to designate certain electrons as guilt free.”
But Fred Beach, assistant director for energy and technology policy at the Energy Institute at the University of Texas, believes McConnell is wrong on all counts.
“Advances in technology and market drivers are combining to push coal out of the market, inevitably and permanently,” he said.
Beach said the Texas grid can handle a large increase in renewable energy, “because we built a vast fleet of peaking power plants 10 to 15 years ago to accommodate our high demand in the summer.”
“If everyone tried to do what Georgetown did tomorrow, the grid would have predictability problems,” Beach said, but that’s not going to happen, and in the meantime, the cost of utility batteries that can store electricity from any source are dropping.
Beach also noted that the federal production tax credit for wind generation is being phased out in 2020 — unlike breaks for fossil fuels — having launched a thriving industry that no longer needs it.
As for McConnell’s first assertion, that Georgetown isn’t really powered 100 percent by renewable energy, Beach said that it is technically true that, unless Georgetown were to get off the grid, the energy it receives is a fungible mix from all sources, but that’s not the point.
“Nobody knows where their electrons actually come from, not that it really matters,” said Beach, who lives in Georgetown. “It just meant on an annual basis we were procuring enough wind energy that we could say we’re being covered on a net basis.”
In 2015, Georgetown contracted with Spinning Spur 3, a wind project 50 miles west of Amarillo, for wind power, and with the NRG solar farm under construction near Fort Stockton. The solar farm will begin providing power next summer and account for 40 percent of Georgetown’s energy.
On days its supply falls short, Georgetown can buy energy. On days it has more than is needed, it can sell the excess.
If Georgetown had not bought wind power, Foster said, “Spinning Spur 3 would not exist today, and in its place Georgetown would have gas contracts. The entire state portfolio would have less renewables, and more fossil fuels. Georgetown pays for, and thereby deserves, full credit for the renewables it caused to be built in the market.”
Foster also doesn’t feel guilty about Georgetown raising expectations for renewable power.
“You know what will happen if you set the expectation that you will reach Mars by 2025, right?” Foster said. “Well, you might not get to Mars, but you will significantly advance your capability of traveling throughout the solar system.”
‘People do want renewables’
Georgetown didn’t set out to meet some kind of renewable energy goal, it just happened, Beach said.
“This was never the intention,” he said. “This was never, `Hey, we want to be 100 percent renewable by a certain date.’”
“It’s true that Georgetown is a very Republican, very conservative town, and yet, inadvertently, we backed into this situation where now, truly, 100 percent of our electricity on an annual basis comes from renewables, primarily for economic reasons,” Beach said.
“I was on the utility board from 2008 to 2012-13, when we actually did all the work that made this possible,” Beach said.
Georgetown had been getting its power through the Lower Colorado River Authority.
“With LCRA we had no control over the mix whatsoever, and didn’t care to,” Beach said. “It was 75 to 80 percent coal with a natural gas fill.”
But Georgetown, one of the fastest-growing cities of its size in the country, was loath to renew with LCRA.
“We felt the combination of committing long-term to LCRA, which was doubling down on coal, and the first term of Obama, when he was seriously talking about a carbon tax, did not bode well for electricity prices if we committed to LCRA,” he said.
Meanwhile, Beach said, “the renewables just kept getting more and more cost attractive. We were being offered contracts, at extremely competitive prices, that were locked in for 20 years with zero volatility.” Georgetown entered into its first wind contract to satisfy Southwestern University, one of its biggest customers, which wanted to operate exclusively on wind power.
“Can other cities in Texas do what Georgetown has done? The answer is `yes,’” Beach said. “Can everybody in Texas do what Georgetown has done? The answer is, ‘hell no.’”
“You can’t really have 100 percent of anything without having problems, but to say there’s a limit or some theoretical limit on how much renewable energy you can have in the grid is not true,” Beach said.
“Originally people said if you hit 10 percent renewables, the grid will crash. We hit 10 percent. It didn’t. ‘Well, if it’s 20 percent renewables the grid will crash.’ We hit 20 percent. ‘If you hit 30 percent, the grid will crash.’ We hit 30 percent,” Beach said. “We’ve had days here in Texas when wind was 50 percent of the grid and it didn’t crash.”
Altogether, in 2016, about 44 percent of energy used on the grid was natural gas, 29 percent was coal, 15 percent was wind, 2 percent was nuclear, and a fraction of a percent was solar, according to Electric Reliability Council of Texas.
“What Georgetown has done for whatever reason has had some impact in that it has sent a market signal,” Beach said. “It has sent a signal to the utility market, at least in Texas, that people do want renewables, for whatever reasons, whether it’s the price reason or environmentalist reasons, and in Texas it’s primary for the price reason – cost.”
Perhaps, but of such dollars and cents, environmental heroes are made, and, as he prepared for Tuesday’s interview with the German news crew at the former post office that is now City Hall, Ross made a request of Buckenmaier, his interviewer, standing on the opposite side of a counter over which clerks once sold stamps.
“Can you take one step back?” Ross asked Buckenmaier.
“Ja,” she said, German for “yes,” without budging.
“That way,” said Ross, waving her away from him.
“Ja,” said Buckenmaier, not sure what Ross was up to, and still not budging.
“Now,” Ross insisted.
“Ja,” said Buckenmaier, stepping away from the counter. “Are you going to jump over?”
Everyone laughed, but Ross finally had Buckenmaier right where he wanted her.
“You’re standing in the exact space that Vice President Al Gore stood in when he came to visit,” Ross said. “Are you feeling the Gore aura?”


Friday, October 20, 2017

Unfunded Mandates for Downtown Property Owners?

Did you know that the City just paid $100,000 to conduct a survey of historic properties in Georgetown? Is that an expenditure that falls within providing core services to Georgetown citizens, or is it a "feel good" expenditure that a select few in the city government support?

Here are the principal results and recommendations from Cox|McLain Environmental Consulting, Inc. (CMEC):
In total, 1,676 resources were documented during the 2016 survey and assigned a preservation priority. This includes 1,660 buildings, 13 structures, 2 objects, and 1 site. Most buildings are single-family homes or commercial buildings.
Plan for survey updates every 10 years; add areas of the city/ETJ that have not been previously surveyed. A large portion of the City and its ETJ have never been surveyed. There are mid-century neighborhoods west of I-35 along Williams Dive that have not been documented in full but have potential for significance. The 1984 survey evaluated a small number of agricultural properties in the ETJ. CMEC historians observed many more historic-age agricultural properties outside of the survey boundary that have never been evaluated. These agricultural areas are under threat of encroaching development and should be documented before they are lost.
Consider a boundary expansion of the currently National Register of Historic Places (NRHP)-listed University Avenue—Elm Street Historic District.
Consider listing the Blue Hole Recreation Area in the NRHP
The review standards currently in place for the overlays should also apply to high-priority properties and contributing properties within existing and future NRHP districts.
Establish the City’s first local landmarks and create program/process for future designations, and pursue NRHP listing for High priority resources that are not already NRHP designated.
Citizens and property owners need to understand the implications of designating property "Historic".

1. It can be considered an unfunded mandate by the city on property owners.

For property owners, the designations can govern the permitting process for renovation projects.

Owners of medium-priority properties who wish to make renovations must submit applications to the city’s historic preservation office, and those with high-priority properties must follow a more detailed process with input and approval from the city’s Historic Architectural Review Commission.

2. It can also be considered a "taking" of property because its value is decreased because of the restrictions placed on use of the property in the future. An owner can not demolish and replace a structure or modify its exterior and sometimes its interior.

The designation of property as "historic" is just another mechanism for government to exert control over private citizens and their property. Any property owner that wishes their property to be designated historic should be free to pursue that designation. Any property owner that does not want such a designation should be free to reject that designation.

The same should apply to the establishment of a "historic district". Every property owner within the proposed district should agree or else they can opt out of being in the district.

The city government was established to serve the citizens, and that means all the citizens, not just a select few!

Thursday, October 19, 2017

Is the Texas Gold Depository Coming to Wilco?

According to the Community Impact newspaper, it appears that the County Commissioners are set to sign an agreement with TEXAS BULLION DEPOSITORY COMPANY at the October 24 meeting of Commissioners Court.

Under the proposed economic agreement, the gold depository would spend $12 million to build a 60,000 sq. ft. building and hire 300 full-time positions. In exchange, Williamson County would cover half of the real property ad valorem tax and all of the personal property ad valorem tax from the county’s general fund for five years. The taxable base of the depository property would be $71 million.

Migration of the Tax Donkeys

A great migration of Tax Donkeys is underway.Charles Hugh Smith  Georgetown has been the recipient of many migrants over the last several years to escape many of the burdens described below. Unfortunately, some also bring their values and principles that are inconsistent with personal liberty and freedom.


"Not everyone can move. Many people find it essentially impossible to move due to family roots and obligations, poverty, secure employment, kids in school, and numerous other compelling reasons.
However, some people are able to move--typically the self-employed independent types who can no longer afford (or tolerate) anti-small-business, high-tax municipalities and their smug elitist leadership that's more into virtue-signaling than creating jobs and a small-biz conducive ecosystem. (Giving lip-service to small-biz doesn't count.)
Dear local leadership: here's the formula for long-term success: welcome talent from everywhere in the U.S. and the world; make it cheap and quick to open a business, and cheap to operate that business; make public spaces free, safe and well-maintained; insist on a transparent, responsive government obsessed with serving the public as frugally as possible; support a political class drawn from people with real-world enterprise experience, not professional politicos, lobbyists, etc., and treat incoming capital well--not just financial capital but intellectual, social and human capital. Focus on building collaboration between education and enterprise--foster apprenticeships not just in the trades but in every field of endeavor."
Georgetown is a great place to live and raise a family, but, citizens must be continually on guard to prevent implementation of policies and ordinances that stifle growth and impose excessive burdens on citizens - like property taxes.
As more and more people demand government services over and beyond the traditional city government services of public safety, good roads, efficient and low cost water, sewer, trash and electric service, and thus government tends to grow and require more funding through taxes and fees. Government also tends to impose more regulations on all citizens in order to satisfy a few.
Be engaged with your city government and demand the smallest government and budget consistent with providing the core government services.

Monday, October 16, 2017

Dual Deployment of Ambulances and Fire Trucks

During the early takeover of ambulance service from Williamson County by the Georgetown Fire Department, the public was told that after an initial period, undefined, dual deployment of fire trucks and ambulances would cease. Evidently that has not happened 2 years after the takeover and no change is planned at this time.

Citizens are questioning this practice. Statesman


I asked as to whether having the both and EMS and fire engine unit leaving from the same station and driving to the same location is excessive. But Sullivan informed me that most of the time, as in any other city, more than one emergency situation at a time must be attended to. So if an EMS isn’t available because it’s tending to another site, a fire engine can drive on over to start care before the next EMS can make its way.
And what about the financial aspect? Do these extra units cost more money? Our reader implied that sending two units instead of one is a waste of funds and resources. I went back to Sullivan for his input. 
“If we don’t need to send more people, we won’t,” he said. “But we have to have these fire engines and firefighters anyways. They’re our first responders.” 
Sullivan said the firefighters are already compensated for their hard work with their salaries and the cost of fire stations are already borne by the city. There is a marginal increase in cost because the department pays for more gas when more vehicles are sent out, but Sullivan said it doesn’t actually cost more to send out two units. 
If you believe that there is only a marginal cost to send two vehicles and teams for every 911 call, then, I have a bridge in Brooklyn for sale!

Most, if not all personnel, are trained as paramedics! They get paid a higher salary than basic fire fighters. They require more training and refreshment training that is more expensive. 

Then there are the legacy costs to the city. Since benefits are related to their salary while working, the higher costs continue through retirement.

And if you think fire trucks are not expensive, view the prior post on the $1.4M ladder truck the city is purchasing. Since the number of emergency calls far surpass the fire calls, the fire trucks are wearing out as the same rate as the ambulances - approximately five years. 

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Renewable Energy as a Scam?

"Report: Renewable Energy Is Bigger ‘Scam’ than Bernie Madoff and Enron" Breitbart
Based on production (subsidies per kWh of electricity produced), however, solar energy “has gotten over ten times the subsidies of all other forms of energy sources combined, including wind,” writes energy expert and planetary geologist Dr. James Conca. 
During the Obama years from 2010 through 2013, federal renewable energy subsidies increased by 54 percent—from $8.6 billion to $13.2 billion—despite the fact that totalfederal energy subsidies declined by 23 percent during the same period, from $38 billion to $29 billion. 
One of the more pernicious side-effects of the enormous government subsidies for renewable energy, Conca found, is that they actually increase the cost of energy. This cost, however, is transferred from the energy consumer to the taxpayer, “and so goes unnoticed by most Americans,” he stated.

So, in addition to the science of climate change being questioned by a wide range of credible climate scientists, we find it is also a financial scam that is transferring wealth from the general population to the favored institutions and corporations. 

Green Energy Failing in Germany

Is this the energy future for Georgetown and America if they continue down this path? nytimes

A de facto class system has emerged, saddling a group of have-nots with higher electricity bills that help subsidize the installation of solar panels and wind turbines elsewhere. 
Germany has spent an estimated 189 billion euros, or about $222 billion, since 2000 on renewable energy subsidies. But emissions have been stuck at roughly 2009 levels, and rose last year, as coal-fired plants fill a void left by Germany’s decision to abandon nuclear power. That has raised questions — and anger — over a program meant to make the country’s power sector greener. 
This lack of progress is an “illustration of the partial failure of the energy transition,” said Artur Lenkowski, an energy analyst at IHS Markit, a research firm. “The whole point of the energy transition was to lower greenhouse gas emissions.” 
Renewable energy subsidies are financed through electric bills, meaning that Energiewende is a big part of the reason prices for consumers have doubled since 2000.
The difference between Georgetown and Germany with respect to green energy is that all U.S. taxpayers are subsidizing the solar and wind energy delivered to Georgetown, while the German rate payers provide the subsidies in Germany.

It is only a matter of time before the Georgetown electricity rates increase - when the contracts are renegotiated. 

Sunday, October 8, 2017

Green Energy or Subsidized Energy

Presented without comment!

Green Energy Movie and the Mayor

Is this the future for electric vehicles?

 Bring your own generator?

Friday, October 6, 2017

$1,400,000 For a New Fire Truck??

Staff currently operates a Sutphen 75-foot aerial ladder truck carrying one 35-foot extension ladder. This new aerial ladder truck, manufactured by Pierce, will have a 107-foot aerial ladder and carry multiple extension ladders ranging from 35-foot to 50-foot in length. 

Here is a representative photo.


The Sutphen 75-foot Aerial Ladder Truck will be placed in reserve status and used as a back-up.

Delivery time projected on this apparatus is Twelve (12) to fourteen (14) months.

Woo-Hoo we have plenty of money. Sales tax revenues are up and property taxes are up! Let's spend $1,400,000. Its not our money!

When you buy "custom" equipment it costs lots of money. Why buy standard equipment when you can afford to buy the best?

Thursday, October 5, 2017

Regulations Are a Burden on Texans and Their Businesses

Excessive regulations that impose huge costs on citizens for little tangible benefit have been proliferating as government grows and expands its reach into individual lives.

One example in Georgetown is the International Fire Code that the city has adopted. It is over 500 pages describing what is legal and what not is legal. It costs money for individuals and businesses to comply with limited benefit in many cases.

The resources expended complying with this onerous international code could be better spent creating jobs and expanding business.

Here is an example of the fees charged by the City for assuring compliance with the fire code.


One obvious question is: Why does the City charge fees when the salaries, benefits and equipment are funded by property taxes?

All levels of government impose regulations from cities through the federal government.TribTalk
Regulations don’t just limit freedom; they are also costly. Last year, regulations for consumers and businesses cost Americans a staggering $1.9 trillion.
To get this hidden tax under control and maximize individual liberty, the Congressional Review Act, which allows Congress to review all new red tape, should be used to roll back several abusive, unnecessarily expensive and ineffective regulations. For example:
  • The Clean Power Plan: The costliest remaining Obama-era rule, the CPP would cost at a minimum $7 billion a year, according to our analysis. Other groups have come up with even higher cost estimates. This rule imposed new restrictions on carbon emissions from power plants that many believe was intended to be a death blow to the coal industry. Aside from increasing electricity-rates by nearly 20 percent, the rule has been estimated to cost, at minimum, 300,000 jobs.
  • The Waters of the U.S. Rule: As egregious a rule as has ever been issued, WOTUS would redefine “navigable waterways” in such a manner to incorporate freestanding drainage water, ponds and rain water to potential regulatory action. This would have an outsized and significantly negative impact on Texas farmers’ and ranchers’ property rights.
  • DOE’s Regulations on Utilities: In 2015, the Department of Energy issued rules relating to energy usage for a host of household and business appliances — these include fluorescent lights, ceiling fans and vending machines. The total cost of these regulations amounts to $1.6 billion annually.
There are many instances where regulations can be reduced or eliminated to the benefit of the American economy. Let your elected officials know this is an area ripe for reduction.

Tuesday, October 3, 2017

Wages Stagnant - City Budgets Grow - Housing Affordablility Declines

The American wage earner has seen essential flat wages over the last 40+ years as shown by the following chart.Hamilton Project

There is no particular reason to believe that the average wages in Georgetown have grown significantly more than the national average, yet government spending is increasing at rates greater than inflation plus population growth. Let's look at some data.







Inflation is running at 1.8% annually and population is increasing at a 3.87% rate for a combined rate of 5.67%. Compare that with Georgetown's budget growth rate of 10.34% and it is easy to come to the conclusion that this is not sustainable.

So when is our city council going to recognize the reality that taxpayers wages are not keeping up with the city budget growth? And then people wonder why there is not enough affordable housing. People's wages are not keeping up with the cost of living and the cost of government.

Thus it would seem to be a "no brainer" that reducing the cost of government is one element in reducing the cost of living which will make housing more affordable in Georgetown.

Monday, October 2, 2017

Is Your Home Never Safe From Predators?

A federal judge last week rejected JB Mortgage Company’s claim that the owners of 400 homes in Georgetown's Crystal Knoll Terrace neighborhood, which is in northeast Georgetown, owed it more than $60 million because of a lien on their titles that was part of a decades-old foreclosure.Statesman
The mortgage company sued the homeowners in the Crystal Knoll Terrace neighborhood near Georgetown in 2015, claiming the Georgetown school district had illegally foreclosed on the land in 1990 for unpaid taxes before it was developed.
The foreclosure violated a federal statute because the federally run Resolution Trust Corp. — which owned the land at the time after the original owners defaulted on a loan — didn’t agree to it, the lawsuit contended.
The government sold the loan that the owners had defaulted on to a private company in 1996, which then passed it on to other companies before it was sold in 2009 to JB Mortgage, according to the suit.
JB Mortgage claimed in the lawsuit that Crystal Knoll Terrace homeowners were liable for the $5.2 million loan plus the 10 percent interest that had compounded on it since 1990, making the total amount more than $60 million.
Luckily, the judge used common sense in ruling against the mortgage company.

It appears the mortgage company was trying to collect "free money" from the homeowners or the title insurance companies. In either case it should be classified as a scam.